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Mémoire N° 0
Auteur LOGEAIS Mathieu
Titre Spatial investigation of new renewable electricity projects in France
Thématique & formation Climat
Résumé
Summary At high northern latitude, tree growth is heavily limited by summer temperature variations and thus, through dendroclimatology analysis, these trees are often used to reconstruct past climate conditions, especially trees growing in Yamal, western Siberia. Such a reconstruction relies on the uniformitarian principle postulating that tree-climate growth relationships have operated unchanged throughout time. Yet, in the past two decades, scholars have noticed a loss of sensitivity towards summer temperature in trees growing at high latitude, thereby questioning the reliability of past climate reconstruction. Little is known about this phenomenon named “divergence”. Until now, only a few studies have considered other climate variables than temperature and have assessed their influence on tree growth in Arctic. Here, we combined three centennial tree-ring chronologies from 63 Larix sibirica, sampled in different sites in southern Yamal, to assess growth relationships between trees and temperature, precipitation, anthropogenic activity, permafrost thaw, hydrology and ozone over the 1901-2018 period. We built three site-related chronologies and we used (1) static correlation and response functions to assess significant tree-climate growth relationships; (2) moving correlation functions to evaluate the relationships stability over time; and (3) structural equations models to unravel the influence of temperature, precipitation and hydrology on tree-ring width index for two distinct periods (1901-1980 and 1981-2018). We show that tree growth is rather driven by regional climate conditions than micro conditions, such as soil composition or surrounding vegetation. We also observe that, although the correlation with summer temperature variations is strong, it has significantly decreased over time. Simultaneously, trees became more limited by April temperature and positively influenced by summer precipitation. Insights from permafrost thaw, humidity and tropospheric ozone concentration are more difficult to interpret. Yet, high levels of humidity in summer are detrimental to tree growth and may be linked to the thaw of permafrost. Overall, tree growth in southern Yamal seems to diverge and these findings illustrate the importance of understanding tree-climate growth relationships at high latitude and not only with summer temperature.
Volée 2017
Date et heure soutenance 18-08-2020 00:00
Salle soutenance Zoom
Collation 49 pages, 20 figures, 2 tableaux
Remarque
Mot-clés Dendroclimatology, tree-ring analysis, divergence, climate change, Siberia, Structural equations models
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2025-10-07 13:53:02