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Mémoire N° 427
Auteur VALDEZ GONZALEZ Isabel Carolina
Titre Impact de la sécheresse sur les conflits en Amérique Latine dnas un contexte de changement climatique
Thématique & formation Impacts climatiques
Résumé
Summary Central America is one of the regions that is most vulnerable to hydrometeorological events and social conflicts. Recently, drought events have become more frequent and are exacerbating pre-existing factors that drive social conflicts. This study focuses on the spatio-temporal relationship between unusually dry conditions and social conflicts in Central America. To describe this relationship, I developed a long-term (1990-2015) monthly panel dataset at the geographic cell level (0.5 x 0.5 degrees). The results do not show a statistically significant relationship between negative water balances (unusually dry conditions) and social conflicts in general. Nevertheless, there is some evidence that suggests that the risk of social conflicts increases when unusually dry conditions occur in locations characterized by limited water supply.
Volée 2017
Date et heure soutenance 02-02-2021 10:00
Salle soutenance Zoom
Collation 89 pages, 14 figures, 11 tableaux
Remarque
Mot-clés Extreme weather events, Drought, Water scarcity, Conflicts, Agriculture, Poverty
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2023-03-23 11:52:06